LIVE
FED CUTS / DEC YES 64% ▲ 2 BTC>$120K BY EOY YES 41% ▼ 3 CHIEFS WIN SB YES 18% ▲ 1 RECESSION 2026 YES 22% ▼ 4 NVDA EARNINGS BEAT YES 71% ▲ 5 OSCAR BEST PICTURE FAV 38% ▲ 2 GOV SHUTDOWN BY MAR YES 29% ▼ 1 SPX>6500 BY Q2 YES 57% ▲ 3 FED CUTS / DEC YES 64% ▲ 2 BTC>$120K BY EOY YES 41% ▼ 3 CHIEFS WIN SB YES 18% ▲ 1 RECESSION 2026 YES 22% ▼ 4
◆ BEAT THE STREET
VOL. 01 NO. 001 EST. 2026
A PUBLIC EXPERIMENT  /  STARTING SOON

Can you beat
the street?

Tarek says the average person is outsmarting Wall Street on prediction markets. Matt says prove it. So we will.

Drop your email. Make your picks. We track everything for four weeks — your P&L versus the pros, published in public. No paywalls, no spin, no excuses.

► Enter the experiment ● Live signups: 41

No spam. One launch email when the contest opens. Then weekly P&L drops.

✓  You’re on the tape

See you at the open.

You’ll get one email when the contest goes live. In the meantime — tell a friend who thinks they’re sharper than a hedge fund analyst. They probably are.

◆ The Experiment

Three steps. Four weeks. One scoreboard.

01

Sign Up

Drop your email and get an invite to the prediction tracker. We’re onboarding in waves so the data stays clean.

02

Make Your Picks

Same prediction markets the pros are pricing — politics, sports, macro, culture. Lock in your positions. We record every one.

03

We Publish

Four weeks of head-to-head P&L. Public versus Wall Street. Receipts on a public dashboard. Settle the debate forever.

The crowd has been quietly outsmarting Wall Street on prediction markets. Either it’s true, or it isn’t. There’s only one way to find out.
— The Premise
▲ Home Team
The Public
You, your group chat, that one guy at the bar who’s always right about politics. Wisdom of the crowd, IRL.
vs.
▼ Away Team
Wall Street
The desks, the funds, the analysts with Bloomberg terminals and CFAs. The smart money. Allegedly.